Even with all the hard data in the world, there is no accurate way to predict the way the country will go given the current financial crisis. There is an element of chaos after all...
"I" do believe that we'll be stuck in Iraq for a while longer, and even if Obama's campaign can lead to a total withdrawal, these things take time.
The current state of the economy was decided before he even took the victory, so you really can't blame Obama for not being able to turn around a beast as large as the US stock market. Once the leader in the world economy, now borrowing billion from China thanks to gold 'ol boy George W. Bush and his dear republican constituents.
In other words the Obama cabinet has inherited quite a mess, and nobody would be able to turn it around over night. So, I think anyone who calls themselves a concerned citizen needs to do their part in helping turn our country around. It's your country, and things don't change on their own, they stagnate and wither.
--One humble opinion.