Tf you even talking about. Ps5 and XBOX would have been the first failures if that was the case, but guess what, both of them sold pretty well.
The PS5 and Xbox are technologically relevant, have great third party support and have relevant online features.
They have decades of games to rerelease, starting with gamecube games which are in high demand.
Releasing the console with retro compatibility of a console that's sold over 140M is way more profitable than a few potential unwanted remasters, as it ensures a smooth transition and easier adoption.
If on top of that they can offer performance perks on the switch games (like the PS4 Pro/PS5 and Xbox did) then it's an even better argument.
I'd buy a switch 2 for the performance upgrade alone, even with no new games.
Also not sure why you're so sure the next one is bound to fail when Nintendo had nothing but successes recently. Yeah sure it had the Wii U, and before that it had the Wii, the SNES, the gameboy, the DS. One more failure of a console doesn't mean it's gonna be their last console. Nintendo owns a huge number of IPs that are beloved and trigger the nostalgia feeling, it would take a tremendous amount of screw ups for that to get destroyed.
I was talking about Nintendo building consoles, not their entire business. Nintendo has been struggling for many years to support their systems because they have had few third party AAA titles and can't keep up when it comes to developing new games, hence the hundreds of cheap remasters/remakes etc. The point of the Switch was to alleviate that issue by merging their console and portable systems. But the struggle is still very real, especially with the ever-growing technology gap between Nintendo and their competition, which has the consequence of making the Switch starve even more for third party AAA titles.
Even if Nintendo releases a new console and it's not a complete failure, I feel it's safe to say it won't be as successful and profitable as the Switch by a long shot, so they'll drop console building altogether to focus on more profitable aspects of the company and expand on their franchises on other ways, like mobile games, movies, theme parks etc... They've already started going in that direction.
And yes indeed there's still lots of Gamecube or N64 or GBA games to remake or remaster, but do you actually think upscaled versions of Super Mario Ball, Yoshi's Story or Kirby Air Ride are gonna sell new consoles when the Switch already got almost every
notable game re-released ? And let's not forget Nintendo's main target is families, not hardcore gamers. Virtually every family on the planet has a Switch now, why would parents buy a more expensive and probably technologically marginally superior new console ? I'll be curious to see Nintendo try to pull that one off.
lol this is Nintendo we're talking about.
why you're so sure the next one is bound to fail when Nintendo had nothing but successes recently
I don't see the logic here... Having a streak of success doesn't make you immune to failure. It's actually quite the opposite I believe.
All in all Nintendo is quite like Disney. These two companies have been resting on their laurels for a long while now, getting cheaper and cheaper with their new productions/services and milking fans more and more aggressively. So far it still works because of the "magic" of their franchises but this is bound to bite them in the ass sooner or later. Someday the magic will wear off. I can see the first signs of this turnaround happening these days to Disney. Nintendo is to follow eventually if they keep phoning it in.